One framework, from macro view to position.

Core US inflation is still running above target. But this morning’s data revisions reveal that the gap is not nearly as large as it appeared yesterday.

Record diesel prices and mounting political pressure make some form of US export restriction likely. But it wouldn't be a ...

Our US Equity strategists expect the Anthropic and OpenAI listings to open a critical part of the AI story to public scrutiny, while adding to an issuance wave that has already weighed on S&P 500 ...

Nerves are rising around Data Center financing but most of the fear comes from GPU financing. GPUs are not Data Centers. Data Center collateral is solid, and so are the tenants.

Australia's August CPI shows no sign of re-accelerating core inflation, suggesting a less aggressive RBA tightening than currently priced. Headline CPI rose less than expected in August, to 4.0% y/y ...

Policy rates are poised to rise across the developed world as central banks are no longer willing to wait out the Iran-US ...

Our Private Markets & Alternatives strategists see the data center debt scare as overblown. Nerves around AI financing are rising, but our colleagues attribute most of the fear to GPU lending rather ...

The UK government's new first-time-buyer scheme should support homebuilders even as high mortgage rates continue to constrain the broader housing market. Your First Home will allow eligible buyers in ...

Our FX strategists turn tactically constructive on the dollar, as a widening real-rate gap, resilient US data, and supportive seasonality tilt near-term risks toward dollar strength. The global ...

Central banks have begun a mild tightening cycle as elevated energy prices raise concerns about second-round inflation effects. We use BCA’s Central Bank Monitors to test whether hawkish market ...

MacroQuant recommends an underweight to equities and bonds, counterbalanced by a significant overweight to cash. The model is very bullish on the US dollar, slightly negative on gold and copper, and ...